targetspec

MEASUREMENT, MADE PLAIN

Close to the target,
close to each other.

Every made thing has a number it aims for, and a range it must stay inside.

A bolt, a bag of flour or a bottle of juice is made to a target, with limits either side. Whether a maker really hits that target comes down to two separate questions: are the results centred on it, and are they close to each other? Measurement scientists have agreed words for both.

A plain dartboard on a wall with a tight cluster of darts just off the centre, lit by soft side light
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

0.27% outside ±3σ

  • Centred on the target
  • Tight around the average
  • Inside the limits
  • Three things a good process does

THE SHORT ANSWER

Two questions
and a limit.

Centred? Consistent?
And inside the spec?

ACCURACY

Trueness plus precision

The UK's National Physical Laboratory puts it simply: high accuracy is a combination of high precision and high trueness. Darts can be tightly grouped and still miss the bullseye.

Check a process

SPECIFICATION

Limits, not just a target

A spec gives a target and upper and lower specification limits. Capability indices such as Cp and Cpk compare that allowed width with how much the process actually varies.

See the numbers

IN THE SHOPS

Packs may vary, within rules

Under the UK's average system, packs must not be less on average than the stated quantity, and no pack may be short by more than twice the tolerable negative error.

The packers' rules

A QUICK CAPABILITY CHECK

How much of the spec
does it use?

Pick a Cp value for a well-centred process. The bar shows how many parts would land outside the specification limits.

Capability check

Choose a Cp value
Cp 1.00: spec width equals 6σ0.27% out

The process uses 100% of the specification. About 0.27% of results fall outside the limits, roughly 27 in every 10,000.

Cp 1.33: spec width is 8σ64 ppm out

The process uses 75% of the specification, and rejects drop to about 64 parts per million.

Cp 1.66: spec width is 10σ0.6 ppm out

The process uses 60% of the specification. Rejects fall to about 0.6 parts per million.

Cp 2.00: spec width is 12σ2 ppb out

The process uses only half of the specification, and rejects are about 2 parts per billion.

Source: NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, section 6.1.6, What is Process Capability? (table translating capability into rejects).

Figures from the NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods. They assume normally distributed results centred on the target; a process that drifts off-centre does worse.

TWO NUMBERS WORTH KNOWING

Small numbers,
big consequences.

One figure from the factory floor,
one from the supermarket shelf.

0.27%

Share of normal results beyond ±3 standard deviations

For normally distributed data, 0.00135 lies beyond 3σ in each direction, or 0.0027 in both. That is why control charts usually draw their limits at ±3σ around the centre line.

3-SIGMA LIMITS · NIST

9 g

Tolerable negative error for a pack between 200 g and 300 g

A 250 g pack falls in the 200 to 300 g band, where the TNE is 9 g. Only a limited proportion may be short by more than that, and none by more than twice it.

PACKED GOODS · OPSS

Sources: NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, section 6.3.1, What are Control Charts?; Weights and Measures (Packaged Goods) Regulations 2006: Great Britain guidance, Office for Product Safety and Standards.

THE UK AVERAGE SYSTEM

Three rules
behind every pack.

Automatic filling always varies a little. The average system sets tolerances for that variation, so shoppers are protected against short measure and packers can still run their lines.

  • On average, not less

    The actual contents must not be less, on average, than the nominal quantity printed on the pack.

  • Few packs past the TNE

    The proportion of packs short by more than the tolerable negative error must stay below a specified level.

  • None past twice the TNE

    No pack may be short by more than twice the tolerable negative error, whatever the average.

  • The ℮ mark

    The optional ℮ mark is the packer's declaration that the contents comply with the average system. Trading Standards enforce the rules.

Plain paper bags of flour lined up beside a stainless-steel weighing scale in a small food workshop
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

CONTROL LIMITS ARE NOT SPEC LIMITS

What the process does,
what the customer needs.

A hand holding a digital calliper across a machined metal part on a workshop bench
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

Specification limits come from the design: what the part or pack must be. Control limits come from the process itself, set so that almost all points fall inside them while it stays in control. A point outside them is a signal to look for a cause.

In the US, control limits are usually set at 3 standard deviations. NIST notes that statisticians in the UK generally prefer probability limits, such as 0.001 in each direction, which for normal data sit very close to the 3σ lines.

Questions

Questions people ask

What is the difference between accuracy and precision?

Precision is how close repeated results are to each other. Trueness is how close their average is to the reference value. NPL says high accuracy combines both.

Is precision a property of the instrument?

NPL calls that a myth: precision relates to the measurement results, not to the instrument used to find them.

What do Cp and Cpk mean?

Cp compares the width between the specification limits with six standard deviations of the process. Cpk also accounts for how far the average sits from the centre, so it is never larger than Cp.

How much data do you need to work out Cpk?

NIST says most capability estimates are valid only with a large enough sample, generally thought to be about 50 independent data values, and they assume normally distributed data.

Can a pack weigh less than it says?

Yes, within limits. Under the UK average system the average must reach the stated quantity, few packs may fall short by more than the TNE, and none by more than twice it.

Sources

Where the facts come from

  1. NPL: The difference between accuracy, precision and trueness (poster)
  2. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods: What is Process Capability?
  3. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods: What are Control Charts?
  4. GOV.UK (OPSS): Packaged goods, weights and measures regulations
  5. OPSS: Weights and Measures (Packaged Goods) Regulations 2006, Great Britain guidance (PDF)

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